Universitario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
2º
18
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
4 - 0
SUN
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AZU
0 - 0
CHO
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
SFF
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SFF
0 - 2
UME
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
UME
0 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IND
2 - 1
UME
57%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 2
UME
54%
26%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |