Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
AMA
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
CHO
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 3
AFC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SMI
2 - 2
IND
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 2
ARA
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |