Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHO
31%
29%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
TAU
0 - 0
CHO
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
RIO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 1
CHO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 1
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SFF
1 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 3
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
SMI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |