Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 0
CHO
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
TAU
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SFF
2 - 2
CHO
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 0
ARA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TAU
0 - 0
SMI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SMI
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |