Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
VER
0 - 3
CHO
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHO
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 1
AMA
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHO
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
3 - 2
SFF
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SMI
2 - 1
CHI
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 2
SMI
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SMI
0 - 1
TAU
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AMA
3 - 4
SMI
31%
28%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SMI
7 - 0
AFC
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |