Universitario vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
10º
26
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 1
CHO
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
TAU
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
COS
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
UME
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
2 - 0
AMA
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
49%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
SUN
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
AZU
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |