Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
COS
0 - 0
CHO
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
SFF
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 0
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
IND
1 - 3
AZU
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
AMA
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 2
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |