Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SMI
2 - 2
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
VER
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
AMA
43%
30%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
5 - 1
ARA
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 0
IND
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
GEM
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
TAU
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
SMI
37%
27%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |