Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 0
AMA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
4 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
IND
4 - 2
TAU
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
SMI
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 2
IND
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
SFF
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |