Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 2
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 1
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |