Liga CONCACAF Last 16
Global 2-0
Universitario vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
TAU
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 0
CHO
51%
27%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
SMI
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
CHO
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2017 |
MOT
3 - 0
HNP
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 4
MOT
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
HNP
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
HNP
4 - 2
OLI
29%
23%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |