Universitario vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
SMI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 0
CHO
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
ARA
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 0
COL
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
CHI
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SFF
1 - 1
COL
73%
18%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
AFC
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |