Universitario vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 4
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHO
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
25%
29%
47%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TAU
3 - 2
COL
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SFF
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
COL
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |