Universitario vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
8º
23
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AMA
6 - 0
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
AZU
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 2
TAU
38%
30%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
AZU
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
SFF
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
AZU
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |