Universitario vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
CHO
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MON
5 - 0
CHO
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 3
TAU
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHO
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAU
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHE
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 4
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
CHO
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |