Universitario vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
COL
1 - 2
CHO
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
AFC
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SMI
1 - 2
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
AMA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 1
CHE
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARA
39%
28%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 0
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
SFF
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
CHI
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |