Universitario vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
VER
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHE
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 1
CHI
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
SMI
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
VER
3 - 1
CHI
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CHI
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |