Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
8º
23
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 1
CHO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
SFF
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 0
ARA
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
ARA
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 4
TAU
27%
31%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 1
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |