Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHO
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
SFF
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHO
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAU
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
ARA
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
SMI
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
ARA
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |