Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
SMI
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VER
0 - 3
CHO
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 2
SFF
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
AFC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |