Chornomorets Odessa vs Livyi Bereh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
16º
16º
26
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 2
CHO
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 4
OZG
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 9 | 66 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
3 - 0
ZAR
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
CSI
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
2 - 1
FCF
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 0
LIV
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LIV
1 - 0
SHF
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
LIV
1 - 2
KOL
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
QIZ
1 - 1
LIV
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |