Chore Central vs Presidente Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chore Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CHO
1 - 1
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
PET
1 - 0
CHO
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CHO
0 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 1
CHO
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CHO
1 - 2
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Presidente Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PHA
1 - 0
CER
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 1
PHA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
PHA
1 - 2
FER
65%
20%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PET
1 - 1
PHA
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PHA
0 - 0
RÑU
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |