Chore Central vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chore Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
RÑU
3 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
3 - 1
CHO
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CHO
0 - 1
PHA
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CHO
1 - 1
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
PET
1 - 0
CHO
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
FER
1 - 2
GEN
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
FER
0 - 1
PET
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 3
FER
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
FER
1 - 1
GEN
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CER
2 - 2
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |