Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
16º
32
1º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 49 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 40 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 0
CHO
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
CBJ
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +3 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STC
2 - 2
CHO
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
JIS
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Slovan Velvary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
STC
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
JIS
2 - 0
VEL
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 3
LOK
68%
19%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADM
4 - 1
VEL
13%
20%
67%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 3
VPZ
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |