Chomutov vs Sokol Hostouň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
16º
30
9º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 49 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 40 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
5 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 4
FKD
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 0
CHO
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
CHO
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
TAB
39%
24%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sokol Hostouň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JIS
4 - 0
HOS
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOS
0 - 1
LOK
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 0
HOS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
3 - 2
HOS
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 4
VPZ
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |