Chomutov vs Pribram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
16º
47
1º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 49 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 40 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
ADM
2 - 1
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 2
VPZ
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HOS
0 - 0
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 2
PIS
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TAB
3 - 2
CHO
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pribram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
HOS
3 - 0
PRI
12%
19%
68%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
PRI
2 - 2
PIS
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
TAB
0 - 2
PRI
20%
23%
58%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PRI
2 - 1
SPP
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCB
0 - 2
PRI
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |