Chomutov vs Jablonec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SOK
3 - 0
CHO
31%
25%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
KRU
2 - 2
CHO
16%
20%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 2
DOU
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
ADM
1 - 1
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 1
ZEN
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
JAB
1 - 1
SLO
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
VKP
3 - 1
JAB
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
JAB
2 - 0
ZBR
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ZBR
1 - 0
JAB
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
JAB
1 - 2
BOH
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |