Chomutov vs Bohemians 1905 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
16º
39
5º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 49 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 40 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 8
UST
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FKD
1 - 1
CHO
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
PRE
33%
23%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HVZ
0 - 1
CHO
9%
16%
75%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
FKO
3 - 3
CHO
21%
22%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemians 1905 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UST
7 - 0
FCB
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 9
FCB
11%
14%
75%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
SOK
48%
22%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 3
LOK
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |