Chomutov vs České Budějovice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
16º
32
1º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 49 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 40 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STC
2 - 2
CHO
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
JIS
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 0
ADM
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VPZ
4 - 1
CHO
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
České Budějovice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CBJ
2 - 0
PIS
53%
22%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
STC
4 - 3
CBJ
39%
23%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CBJ
3 - 2
FCB
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CBJ
1 - 2
TAB
44%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JIS
4 - 4
CBJ
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |