Cholet vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POI
1 - 1
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 1
BLO
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAU
1 - 1
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 1
LPS
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TOU
4 - 1
CHO
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
THO
1 - 1
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AAI
0 - 1
THO
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
THO
1 - 0
NIO
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NAN
3 - 2
THO
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
THO
2 - 0
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |