Cholet vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LPS
0 - 2
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 2
TOU
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
STG
1 - 0
CHO
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SAU
2 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AAI
1 - 2
SAU
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SAU
3 - 1
NIO
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NAN
4 - 2
SAU
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAU
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |