Cholet vs Niort II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 1
CHO
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 0
BOU
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 0
THO
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POI
1 - 1
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
NIO
2 - 2
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
STP
1 - 0
NIO
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 0
NIO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 0
NIO
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |