Cholet vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CLU
1 - 2
CHO
15%
20%
64%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
AVR
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 2
CHO
6%
13%
81%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
FBB
1 - 2
CHO
33%
25%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
NIC
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 3
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CLE
1 - 2
NIC
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |