Cholet vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BER
0 - 2
CHO
45%
27%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
CHO
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
GDB
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GDB
1 - 2
FLE
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 0
VCH
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FLE
3 - 1
ROM
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 1
FLE
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |