Cholet vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BON
2 - 2
CHO
14%
21%
65%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
VIE
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
CHO
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 0
SAB
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHO
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
COG
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COG
2 - 1
SAB
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 0
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
COG
0 - 0
POI
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
COG
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |