Cholet vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 0
THO
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POI
1 - 1
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 1
BLO
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAU
1 - 1
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
AAI
0 - 1
BOU
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 0
NIO
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NAN
4 - 1
BOU
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |