Cholet vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ORL
1 - 0
CHO
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
STL
0 - 0
CHO
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
LUS
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
SÈT
0 - 0
CHO
37%
27%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 1
LYO
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
FBB
3 - 0
AVR
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 2
AVR
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 2
AVR
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
AVR
2 - 1
STL
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |