Choco vs Sanxenxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 1
CHO
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ATO
0 - 2
CHO
53%
24%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
PON
37%
27%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sanxenxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UDA
1 - 3
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARO
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATO
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |