Choco vs Sanxenxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
8 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CUL
1 - 0
CHO
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CHO
3 - 0
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sanxenxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
OGR
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOM
37%
25%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |