Choco vs UD Atios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CUL
0 - 3
CHO
37%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 3
RIB
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
CHO
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CHO
45%
24%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 0
VEL
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Atios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 1
VEL
67%
20%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 4
UDA
47%
24%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
UDA
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
3 - 1
ALL
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 0
UDA
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |