Choco vs UD Atios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATO
0 - 1
CHO
13%
23%
65%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
CHO
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
RIB
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 1
CHO
23%
25%
53%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Atios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UDA
1 - 1
RIB
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 3
UDA
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UDA
2 - 1
BAR
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
UDA
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UDA
2 - 0
TOM
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |