Choco vs UD Atios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 2
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CHO
5 - 1
ARO
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
5 - 3
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 1
ATO
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
CHO
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Atios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
UDA
0 - 1
LAL
37%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
UDA
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UDA
3 - 1
ARE
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ARO
1 - 0
UDA
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UDA
2 - 2
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |