Choco vs Tomiño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
CHO
38%
25%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CHO
0 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHO
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CHO
0 - 0
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 0
CHO
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tomiño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
TOM
3 - 2
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ARE
3 - 1
TOM
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TOM
2 - 0
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CUL
3 - 2
TOM
63%
21%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TOM
2 - 2
MEL
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |