Choco vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 3
CHO
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 4
CHO
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARE
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PON
3 - 3
CHO
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CHO
1 - 2
CUL
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ARE
2 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 0
PON
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CUL
0 - 1
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
MEL
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |