Choco vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALO
0 - 1
CHO
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
POL
2 - 2
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
SOF
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 3
POL
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIV
0 - 1
SOM
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SOM
2 - 0
NOI
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
RCV
1 - 0
SOM
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SOM
3 - 1
BOU
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |