Choco vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RIB
2 - 1
CHO
32%
25%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
5 - 2
RCV
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
CHO
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARE
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SOM
0 - 1
BOI
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 2
SOM
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SOM
2 - 1
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UDO
0 - 0
SOM
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SOM
4 - 0
RCF
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +5 |