Choco vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CUL
1 - 1
CHO
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CHO
3 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SIL
1 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
BER
37%
27%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SOM
5 - 0
ARE
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 6
DEP
5%
16%
79%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SOM
0 - 3
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LEA
3 - 1
SOM
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
BUR
30%
28%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |