Choco vs Silva SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 3
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 2
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARZ
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 3
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Silva SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 3
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SIL
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VIV
1 - 1
SIL
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 0
PON
45%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 1
NOI
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |