Choco vs Silva SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
BER
1 - 0
CHO
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
COM
23%
25%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DUB
3 - 4
CHO
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
ASP
55%
23%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 1
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Silva SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
SIL
0 - 1
BOU
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
SIL
46%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SIL
2 - 2
ORD
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 1
SIL
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |