Choco vs Silva SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 1
CHO
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHO
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
RIB
66%
19%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Silva SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SIL
3 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RIB
3 - 0
SIL
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SIL
1 - 2
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
SIL
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SIL
3 - 1
DEP
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |